Hedging Political Disapointment

Although Punditdad has been a Barack Obama supporter since he ran for the US Senate in Illinois and his historic speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention,  he has refused to believe that Obama will actually win the race for presidency.  Why the lack of hope? Why the obvious refusal to see the polls? Because this song has been played before for Democrats.

In 2000, when people’s job security, income, home ownership and general pocketbook health was on the rise, American’s made the choice to bring in a uniter, not a divider. People can chalk that one up to Clinton fatigue but I suspect that the previous 8 years of relative prosperity had made people a tad spoiled.  Although we were sick of moralistic political squabbles most people were giving Bubba 80% approval.  I’ll be the first to admit that Gore is stiff as a plank, condescending and sometimes a lecturing bore but it doesn’t take much of a stretch to know that his government would have been far less controversial, idiotic, embarrasing and deadly than Bush’s. We just couldn’t see what was important at the time since times were good. Gore had flaws that were not his to control, his persona, Bill Clinton and the state of the nation.

2004 was an election 4 months too early. Had it been held in March of 2005, I suspect that Americans would have given Kerry more of a chance. Needless to say, John Kerry was a complete and utter dolt who couldn’t get Bozo the Clown excited about his candidacy.  Kerry was asking Americans to make a choice at too difficult a time in their lives, 9/11 and the Iraq War were, I think, too close in the past to feel safe about switching presidents.  Was Kerry uninspiring and suck the life out of the party? Far too much.  But I can’t help but think that his campaign was often caught flat-footed in the knife fight of elections and that he didn’t want it bad enough.  If the election had been in March, the Iraq War would have been more of a problem, more of a morass, more of a Gordian Knot and Bush would have seemed less like the person to figure it out.

2008 has been a long time in the making and as I see Obama with the most sophisticated ground operation in American history, I can’t help but feel he has done everything right and nothing wrong. Sure, he’s made some boneheaded remarks ’bout the guns and bitterness, but compared to the number of gaffes and mistakes the Clinton/Rommney/Guiliani/McCain campaigns have run, they’ve pretty much run the board. What most people don’t understand is that the campaign is a strategic war designed to put the winner into the position of most powerful person in the world. Voters think they are the “deciders”, but I believe that campaigning, for the most part, has such a potential to alter public perception and voting outcomes, that a campaign is ultimately responsible for it’s destiny. You win because you ran the best campaign, controlled the circumstances and the rules better than your opponent.  Will that be true in 2 weeks.

That said, something deep inside my gut wonders if America will turn to Obama on Nov. 4th to solve it’s many problems. Will they see him as the person to turn the page? People vote for many different reasons and what thier votes mean is a subject many a thesis has been written.  Right now, I believe that Obama’s best chance with independents and swing voters is the message that the Republican party has blown their opportunity to be the party that fixes our problems.  They can’t be given the tools to power to oversee our buget, troops, departments and many social programs; they can’t be trusted to lead.

Will he make it? If he does, I’m going to be blown away, along with the rest of America and the world.  An African American President with a funny name and big ears. Holy Shit!

Finally, if you’re reading this, make sure you vote and vote early.

BTW, I do think, along with some of my Republican friends that Obama should keep Henry Paulson and Secretary of Defense Gates on for a few months to keep the “tiller steady” during this economic crisis and the two wars. But shit, announce it before election so you can get some extra credit before you do it.

2 Responses

  1. AAAAAAAAA!!!! Stop! Stop! You’re making me too nervous!!!!!! Sometimes I cry thinking how we passed up Gore as president. Pleeeeeeease, not again!

  2. Agree, agree, agree. And… LOVE the pumpkin picture. This blog is great!

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